I used the 2019 wind date from the april 2020 gold book in this analysis. Since the publication of the 2018 gold book in apri8, there has been a l 201. Outlook for the new york wholesale power markets and analysis of. The seven sections of this load and capacity data report gold book address the following topics. The energy growth rate over the first 20 years in the 2019 forecast is higher than the rate published in the 2018 gold book. Water injection technology is the aftermarket technology that a facility owner would likely consider for these older sources. The nyiso has posted its final 2018 gold book, which includes demand forecasts for nyiso overall and each zone within the state. At the same time, loadreducing impacts occur, such as energy efficiency measures and the growth of solar pv. Summary of changes in summer capacity since the 2012 gold book mw generator type 2012 capacity retirements additions and uprates reclassification. This post and a summary i posted in april 2019 use data in table iii2 existing generating facilities from those reports to describe the annual wind energy resources available. Nyisos gold book shows a lot of green navigant research. Historic and forecast peak demand, energy usage, and energy efficiency.
As of 2018, of the 19 astoria facilities listed in the 2018 nyiso gold book as being owned by nrg, 7 of the facilities are on the deactivated list at a total of 140 mw of capacity. Relevant data from nyiso, including 2018 gold book, and power trends report that would highlight the benefits and challenges to decarbonizing the wholesale electric generation fleet electric consumption data for the portion of the rockaways served by lipa. Covering the new york control area for the study period. Nys authorities budget office public benefit corporations list. Nyiso system impact study status comments central new york northern reliability national grid, usa 112019 browns falls terminal equipment upgrades inservice nr gold book s2022 reliability national grid, usa 62020 taylorville terminal equipment upgrades planned nr gold book s2022. Fs 316 2018 is 487 li energy storage system, llc far rockaway battery storage. Adopted subpart 2273 revised regulatory impact statement. Long term energy forecast each year, iso new england publishes a forecast report of capacity, energy, loads, and transmission celt. Note that in 2018 all wind energy came from onshore facilities. Wind energy solution for new york doesnt pass smell test.
Existing and proposed generation and other capacity resources. Aspen oneliner used for analysis nyiso gold book forecasts for ny wide loads adjustments to load in local areas where necessary to reflect noncoincident peaks 9010, localized load growth 2. The new york independent system operator assumes no responsibility to the reader or any other. See miso, final pra preliminary data, march 16, 2018. New york independent system operator 2010 gold book forecast revised.
Potomac economics serves as the market monitoring unit mmu to the new york iso board of directors. Wind energy solution for new york doesnt pass smell. Nyiso misleads on wind energy when it could have done much. While nyiso is generally agnostic about how electricity is generated, they are experimenting with large scale wind and solar. Prepared by the nyiso for the npcc final approved at the december 4, 2018 reliability coordinating committee rcc meeting. The nyiso realtime dashboard includes a window for the realtime fuel mix that includes the amount of wind generation being generated in the state. The energy growth rate over the first ten years in the 2018 forecast is slightly lower. New york independent system operator 2010 gold book forecast revised draft for discussion only. Aspen oneliner used for analysis nyiso gold book forecasts for ny wide loads adjustments to load in local areas where necessary to reflect non. To illustrate, nyisos gold book forecast for peak demand in downstate new york during summer 2020 plummeted by 380 megawatts, compared to the forecast for.
Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20142024. A draft of nyisos annual load and capacity forecast shows ev usage driving a 66% increase in new yorks projected baseline peak demand growth. The nyiso is currently working on 2018 caris phase 2. Leis forecast analysis relied on nyisos 2015 gold book demand forecasts and. Draft version 2014 nyiso gold book wny peace center. There are 1,982 mw of wind power available within new york. Nyiso 2019 90th percentile baseline coincident peak, table i7a. Nyiso experienced six days with peak loads of more than 31,000 mw this summer, compared with last summers actual peak of 29,677 mw.
However, the capacity factor for all the facilities was only 24. Since the publication of the 2016 gold book in april 2016, there has been. The role and economic impacts of a arbon price in nyiso s wholesale electricity markets october 3, 2019. The higher growth can be attributed in part to the increasing penetration of evs, especially in the later years. Owners and operators may opt to install aftermarket emission control devices on sources that are unable to comply. Dec 26, 2019 the load and capacity date report or gold book is a featured report in the nyiso document library. Nyiso base cases for load flow and transient stability ferc 715. As shown in the charts below, the peak load forecast has been revised down substantially compared to the 2017 gold book forecast. New york commercial law goldbook complete text of ny uniform commercial code with ny annotations and official comments and ny general obligations law in handy 1volume pamphlet format.
The include markets for energy, operating reserves, capacity, and transmission rights. This decrease is due to changes in existing nyca generating capability, changes in special case resources scr, and. Gold book forecast new york state reliability council. Impact of carbon pricing on potential expanded buyer side. At the end of 2018 there were 24 wind facilities in the nyiso report including two new facilities that began operating during the year. Table 81 below summarizes the key assumptions for this study. For an overview i used the annual report that presents load and capacity data including historical and forecast seasonal peak demand, energy usage, and existing and proposed generation and transmission facilities. El62000 ongoing proceeding challenging participation of statesupported resources in the nyiso capacity market and calpine corp. New york independent system operator, ferc docket no. Installed capacity view icap and ucap calculations. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20192029. The window also includes a link to historical data. Energy and peak forecasts are provided through 2039 on a zonal basis, and through 2049 on a system basis.
They have found that while wind is variable, it is quite predictable. Lipa webpage describing the udsa roles and organization. Installed capacity view icap and ucap calculations nyiso. Nuclear unit retirement source indian point energy center unit 2 4302020 nyiso 2019 gold book, table iv5. The load and capacity date report or gold book is a featured report in the nyiso document library. Psse used for analysis nyiso data for short circuit studies. The new york independent system operator nyiso is a notforprofit corporation responsible for operating the states bulk electricity grid, administering new yorks competitive wholesale electricity markets, conducting comprehensive longterm planning for the states electric power system, and advancing the technological infrastructure of. This forecast for the years through 2027 is the time frame of nyisos official forecast for electricity demand and supply.
There are over 3,400 mw of scct capacity listed in the nyiso gold book 25 that are older, pre1986 sccts. Based on the baseline load forecast from the nyisos 2018 load and capacity data report. Generating companies call it the gold book, both for its color and for the opportunities it presents for making large scale, profitable investments. Updates on nyisos comprehensive system planning process. Energy and ancillary computation performed by dps staff using nyiso monthly reports and 2018 nyiso gold book all supply costs are priced at market. Since the 20 gold book, 122 mw of summer capacity has been retired or.
Apr 30, 2019 at the end of 2018 there were 24 wind facilities in the nyiso report including two new facilities that began operating during the year. The new york iso is a nonprofit company that runs the wholesale markets for electricity and related services and operates the transmission system in new york state. The information reported in this document is current as of march 15, 2019 unless otherwise noted. As of 2018, of the 19 astoria facilities listed in the 2018 nyiso gold book as being owned by nrg, 7 of the facilities are on the deactivated list at a total of 140 mw of capacity rights, and 12 of the facilities at a total of 558 mw in nameplate capacity have each consistently produced less than 15 gwh a year since 2011. This report presents the new york independent system operator, inc. I am pleased to once again provide you with the new york independent system operator s nyiso indepth, annual assessment of new yorks power grid. We assumed the following dates for nuclear unit retirements in new york. These celt reports include 10year projections used for reliability studies and service territory planning. Note that in 2019 all wind energy came from onshore facilities. Dps forcast of icap prices expected to be available by june. Features the complete texts of the new york uniform commercial code with new york annotations and official comments, and the new york general obligations law gol. Pjm interconnection llc, ferc dockets el1649000, er1814000.
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